Once you know of, and acknowledge, that you are subject of confirmation bias, you can counteract it. But it is an effort, so you most likely don't find it worthwhile to do it all the time.sauvin wrote:I wonder how much of this confirmation bias might vary by individual. If this article has any merit, it doesn't say much about our ability to solve problems or analyse things meaningfully.
The so-called scientific method is how to do it. Say you believe A causes B. Confirmation bias makes you notice only events where A is followed by B. But you need to record also
- A not followed by B,
- absence of A followed by B, and
- absence of A not followed by B.
Then, by doing some statistical calculation on the four numbers, you can tell if A -> B is a valid assumption, or not.


